The earthquake parameters magnitude, time, coordinates of the hypocenter, charged particles and neutron fluxes from the devices proposed for prediction should be simultaneously recorded in one information database in chronological order.
In addition, the parameters of all earthquakes that occur during the monitoring of neutron fluxes and charged particles, such as time, magnitude and coordinates of the hypocenter should be included in the information base in chronological order.
To build an adequate regression model for predicting the parameters of the upcoming earthquake, the number of experiments should be no less than the number of corresponding sensors of the complex. For example, to build a regression model for predicting hypocenter parameters, based on the number of direction sensors, the number of experiments should be at least 24, and for magnitude prediction, the number of experiments should be at least 3.
This process is the learning mode of the proposed measurement and information system. Having collected a sufficient amount of statistical data in this mode, it will be possible to build a mathematical model predicting the parameters of the upcoming earthquake using regression analysis of measurement results. The proposed measurement and information system will then become a complex predicting the parameters of a possible earthquake. Like any SMART system, this system always works in the forecast-correction mode, while the accuracy of forecasting earthquake parameters increases.
The proposed measurement and information system is based on modern means of information transmission and information and communication technologies. Below is a block diagram of one channel of the measuring device of the measuring and information system:
Fig. 2. Block diagram of the transmission of information from the measuring device
Here:
Device to be monitored the measuring device shown in Figure1.
UART- universal asynchronous receiver/transmitter universal asynchronous receiver transmitter;
Microcontroller microcontroller with analog-to-digital converter;
SPI serial information transfer interface;
EtherSield Ethernet module;
Hardware a set of programmable measuring devices.
Fig. 3. Block diagram of the system
Here:
Hardware technical means of the system installed in the cities of Fergana, Tashkent, Samarkand;
A web server is an application server that collects and processes information.
In order to implement the proposed information and measurement system, three Software and Hardware measuring systems have been installed in the cities of Fergana, Tashkent and Samarkand. The measurement results obtained from these complexes are entered into the information base through the web server applications on the website pribori.uz. Figure 3 shows a block diagram of the system.
Fig. 4. Interface for visualization of system data
Figure 4 below shows the data visualization interface of the system.
Conclusions
During the analysis of the results of preliminary experiments conducted at different times in the cities of Tashkent and Ferghana, an assumption arose about the existence of a correlation between the parameters of an earthquake and neutron and charged particle fluxes, i.e. neutron and charged particle fluxes carry informative signs about upcoming earthquakes in the near future. According to this assumption, they can be attributed to the precursors of earthquakes.
The proposed information and measurement system will allow a deep study of the relationship between the parameters of the upcoming earthquake and the fluxes of neutrons and charged particles.
The conditions for the prediction of all parameters of the upcoming earthquake, such as the hypocenter, magnitude and time of the upcoming earthquakes, are determined.
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