3. Ratio of supporting forces to mission forces.
For operations in the DPRK, such support would most likely be provided by military units:
1.5:1: This represents the lower-end bound of OIF and OEF support for Army operations.
2.5:1: We use this ratio for our baseline. It represents the midlevel support ratios experienced in OIF and OEF.
3.5:1: This represents the high-end bound of OIF and OEF support.
We chose the 2.5:1 support ratio for our baseline estimate to support WMD-E operations in the DPRK, and show the parametric variants of ratios higher or lower than this number.
Question 4
Sensitivity of Force Requirements to Operational Environments and Support Ratios
The ground force requirements are presented as a function of the operating environment (Uncertain or Hostile, and level of threat) and the assumed support ratio (low, midlevel, or high), broken out by the different elements of the WMD-E mission force.
Ground force requirements for WMD-E operations in our illustrative DPRK case are presented in Figure 1.2.
Estimated forces needed for WMD-E operations could be
Answer
Figure 1.2
Example: 73,000 troops for an Uncertain environment with a lower bound of 52,000 if significant contractor logistics support can be employed and an upper bound of 94,000 if all support must be provided by the U.S. military 148,000 for an Uncertain/High Threat environment with a lower bound of 113,000 with more contractor logistics support and an upper bound of 182,000 with all U.S. military support.
Since we think that the environment is likely to be Hostile and that theintermediate level of support will be needed in the DPRK, our best estimate is a requirement for 188,000 U.S. ground troops.
That estimate could decrease to 148,000 if the risk of attack from DPRKmilitary remnants decreases.
It could increase to 273,000 if the environment worsens to become High Threat. It is also useful to recall that these estimates are for the WMD-E mission only they do not include force requirements for other missions, such as humanitarian assistance.
These different security levels pertain to the disposition of the DPRK security forces and any insurgent forces that might rise up.
Question 5
5. Observations on the DPRK Case Study
As described in this case study, WMD-E operations in the wake of a collapse of the DPRK.
1.What are the assumptions driving results?
What does Your results suggest?
Answer
The WMD-E requirement is a nontraditional mission that creates a need for forces in addition to those required for joint operations, the force requirements of which might already be quite large.
The key assumptions driving results are the following:
the number and sizes of the WMD sites that are to be searched, the time needed to clear each site, and the priority and urgency of clearing them
the degree to which non-U.S. forces could or would be relied upon to service nuclear and nonnuclear sites
the ratio of support to mission troops
the degree of hostility in the operational environment, as well as the military threats WMD-E forces may face.
Our results suggest that even in cases where relatively favorable assumptions are made, the estimated U.S. forces required can still be quite substantial:
For example, in our DPRK base case, our estimate for the Uncertain environment a relatively favorable environment for conducting WMD-E operations required an estimated 73,000 troops,
while a more hostile operating environment or more expansive
missions required significantly more troops.
Actual WMD-E operations are likely to be far more challenging.
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CASE 2
Practical Speaking Training. Сrush the fear of public speaking
1. DRAW A CARTOON (Naval Admiral William McRaven`s addresses.)
https://youtu.be/pxBQLFLei70
What 1 lesson from this speech can you apply to your own life?
Directions:
Use the narrators descriptions to help you draw three Scenes and the characters.
After you draw each scene, write what the characters talked or thought about.
If the characters talk to each other, write their conversation in a speech bubble.
Write a characters thoughts about anything in a thought bubble.
Example: «If you want to change the world get over being a sugar cookie and keep moving forward.»
«There were many a student who just couldnt accept the fact that all their effort was in vain Those students didn t under-stand the purpose of the drill. You were never going to suc-ceed. You were never going to have a perfect uniform.»
As you brainstorm the story`s characters, think about which are their main
motivations. Which are their secondary ones?
Create your Speech.
The goal of this presentation is to show you how a speech success isnt the re-sult of good luck, ability.
The speech success is simply a case of taking the steps required to introduce changes and bring revolution in every field, inspiration from your speech. How big your heart is.
Do you agree?
What were some of the main messages of this particular speech?